All In The Cards: Can Arizona Overcome Its Monday Night Woes? (Week 7)

Welcome back to a new edition of All In the Cards! This week the Cardinals will have a chance to showcase their high-flying offense and ferocious defense on a national stage as they play the Baltimore Ravens Monday night. It will be the first of the Cards’ three nationally televised games planned for this season (I say planned because NBC has the option to switch in better games for Sunday Night Football later in the season). Let’s take a look at the Cardinals recent history with Monday Night Football and how they matchup with the Ravens. I hope you enjoy and if you do make sure to follow me on Twitter @QTipsforsports or just search the hashtag #Allinthecards for in-game thoughts and analysis. Without further ado, let’s see how these two teams stack up against each other:

Baltimore Ravens @ Arizona Cardinals

Last Meeting: L 30-27 at. Baltimore (10/30/11)

Even though it occurred nine years ago last week, you can’t mention the Arizona Cardinals and Monday night football without quoting former Cards’ head coach Dennis Green’s famous postgame comments.

The quote has since taken on a life of its own so many might not remember what Green was talking about during his press room meltdown.

The stage was Monday Night Football, week six of the 2006 NFL Season. The Chicago Bears, who came into the game 5-0 and would eventually make it all the way to Super Bowl XLI only to lose to the Indianapolis Colts, faced off against the 1-4 Arizona Cardinals.

The Cardinals had a great defensive gameplan, as they harassed Bears quarterback Rex Grossman and forced him to turn the ball over four times in the first half (two fumbles and two interceptions). Because of those added possessions, the Cards found themselves leading 20-0 at halftime. The defense never let up as they forced two more Grossman interceptions and allowed the Bears offense to score only one field goal the entire game.

Then the epic collapse that spurred Green’s comments ensued.

On the final play of the third quarter with Arizona up 23-3, Cardinals quarterback Matt Leinart was stripped by defensive end Mark Anderson and safety Mike Brown scooped it up for a three-yard touchdown. The Cards played scared the entire fourth quarter and it cost them. With five minutes left in the fourth quarter, the great Brian Urlacher stripped the ball from running back Edgerrin James and cornerback Charles Tillman picked up the fumble and returned it 40 yards to cut the Cards lead to 23-17. Two minutes later the Cardinals offense was stopped again and forced to punt. That ball was punted to Devin Hester, who promptly returned it 83 yards to give the Bears the 24-23 lead. To add insult to injury, the Cards had one last chance but saw their kicker Neil Rackers (who led the NFL the previous season in field goal percentage) miss the game-winning 40-yard attempt.

While it has never gotten that bad since, the Cardinals have still struggled when it has come to playing the final game of the week. Over the past ten years, the Cardinals are 2-5 when playing on Monday nights, with wins coming only in 2008 (29-24 win over San Francisco) and in 2014 (18-17 win over San Diego). Interestingly enough, the other four losses have all come against the 49ers (20-17 in 2007, 24-9 in 2009, 27-6 in 2010, and 24-3 in 2012).

From all of that, I think one can see the importance of this week’s game for Arizona. The Cards are expected to destroy the 1-5 Ravens on national television and prove to the public that these are not the same old Cardinals. It’s a chance for them to show the public they are who we think they are (a Super Bowl contender).

The matchup heavily favors Arizona. The Ravens are both 27th in passing defense (286 yards per game) and turnover differential (-5). On the other side of the ball, only three teams have thrown the ball more than Baltimore (San Diego, Detroit and Houston), and the Ravens have already abandoned the running game before this season, which is a bad decision against Arizona’s ninth ranked pass defense (224 yards per game).

The Cards SHOULD win this game easily but history dictates that this game will be much harder than expected. The Ravens are a proud team and while their season is probably over, that won’t stop them from trying to turn things around. It should be a fun one in the desert.

Prediction: Arizona 33, Baltimore 17

Fantasy Advice:

Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, and John Brown are must starts against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. The Ravens have allowed an average of 222 receiving yards against opposing wide receiver groups and have given up nine touchdowns. For the Ravens, I actually recommend Joe Flacco, who has the second most pass attempts in the NFL and will probably have to throw a lot again if the Ravens fall behind early. Just be weary of potential turnovers.

This week’s Thursday night pick:

  • Prediction: San Francisco 20, Seattle 17
  • Actual Score: Seattle 20, San Francisco 3
  • Whoops, it seems I didn’t follow my own advice for picking Thursday night games. Hindsight is 20/20, but it looks like a shorter week benefited the Seahawks more as they were able to put their fourth-quarter troubles behind them by shutting out the 49ers in the fourth quarter. Despite all the problems, there is still hope in Seattle. If the Seahawks can win again next week (they face a reeling Cowboys team so the odds are in Seattle’s favor) they’ll go into their bye week back at .500 with a Sunday night home matchup against the Cardinals to follow. The Seahawks proved they still owned the 49ers, so there’s hope that they still own the Cardinals as well.

Other NFL Week 7 Predictions:

  • Buffalo 23, Jacksonville 20: With EJ Manuel set to take the start for the Bills, I’m really tempted to pick the Jaguars. Against my better judgment, I’ll stick with the Bills because I think they are a better football team even with Manuel running the offense.
  • Atlanta 38, Tennessee 13: When you combine a Falcons team trying to bounce back from their first loss of the season with a Titans team that will have Zach Mettenberger starting at quarterback, you’re going to end up with a blowout.
  • St. Louis 19, Cleveland 16: Todd Gurley will play his first home game against the worst run defense in the NFL. I’ve underestimated the Browns plenty of times this season, as well as overestimate the Rams, but that matchup is too tempting not to pick the Rams.
  • Minnesota 17, Detroit 13: I’m happy to see that the Lions got their first win of the season last week, but that doesn’t change the fact that they are a flawed football team going against quietly one of the best defenses in football. I expect a lot of turnovers in this game and another ugly win for the Vikings
  • Indianapolis 31, New Orleans 24: Fake punt aside, the Colts actually looked fairly impressive against the Patriots and can really start building momentum with a win against the Saints. Andrew Luck should be able to carve up the Saints’ secondary as he continues to turn his season around.
  • Pittsburgh 24, Kansas City 6: With an improving defense and an offense that found a spark behind backup Landry Jones, I see the Steelers demolishing a Chiefs team that looks like it is in a complete downward spiral. If the Chiefs want to turn it around this is probably their last chance.
  • Miami 23, Houston 21: Both teams are looking up after promising wins last week but I think the Dolphins’ turnaround has more substance. Last week was the first time this season we saw the Miami team we all thought we were going to see at the beginning of the season, and I see the Dolphins making it back to .500 with a win.
  • New England 26, New York Jets 20: The game of the week features Todd Bowles’ first crack at gameplanning against Tom Brady and the Patriots offense. I think the Patriots will come out of this game still undefeated, but the Jets are going to give them one heck of a fight.
  • Washington 27, Tampa Bay 17: A complete toss-up for me, so I’ll go with the home team. The Redskins have played well enough over the course of the season that a Washington win looks more likely, but then again they have lost a few games late. Let’s just move on before I change my mind again.
  • Oakland 37, San Diego 31: You can only put up so many amazing performances like Philip Rivers has done this season and not get depressed by the results. This might be that game. I expect Rivers to have another fantastic performance but I feel the Chargers as a whole will not be able to do enough to beat the Raiders.
  • New York Giants 23, Dallas 13: I don’t think Matt Cassel is a big enough upgrade over Brandon Weeden for me to consider taking the Cowboys over the Giants. Plus New York is trying to bounce back from the disaster that was the Philadelphia game and should be locked in from the first snap.
  • Philadelphia 24, Carolina 20: I know the Panthers will get their first loss soon but I’m not sure how soon. If not this week, then probably during the next two weeks when they go against the Indianapolis Colts and the Green Bay Packers. I’m going with the Eagles because they know a win would set them apart from the rest of the NFC East.
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