All In The Cards: The Times They Are A-Changin’ (Week 2 Recap)

I sincerely sympathize with Chicago Bears’ fans. As an Arizona Cardinals fan of 11 years I know how Sunday felt. Countless times have the Cardinals been plagued by what has happened to the Bears so far this season:

  • Exceeding expectations at beginning of season to give fans a false sense of optimism (Winning week one and then losing six straight in 2011, Winning first four games in 2012 and then losing nine straight in 2012)
  • Injured quarterbacks (Carson Palmer and to a lesser extent Kevin Kolb and Drew Stanton)
  • Inept backup quarterbacks (Derek Anderson, Max Hall, John Skelton, Kevin Kolb, Ryan Lindley, Matt Leinart, Ryan Lindley again…)
  • Not capitalizing on turnovers (Lindley throwing that interception vs. the Panthers in the playoffs last year after the Cam Newton fumble)
  • More penalties than one could think was possible (so many to recall, but the worst was a false start in the redzone vs. the Rams which ended the game with a ten-second runoff)
  • Keeping it close in the first half only to be blown away in the second half (just last year the Cards with Drew Stanton at quarterback were only down 21-13 to the Broncos only to lose 41-20)
  • Having the score run-up on you (In the past five years: 41-7 vs. Falcons, 41-10 vs. Chargers, 41-20 vs. Denver, and Seattle did it twice once (58-0) in 2012 and again (35-6) in 2014)

Yes I’ll admit, even though Bruce Arians only knows one speed (GO!) and always has his team on the attack, Larry Fitzgerald’s third touchdown catch was completely unnecessary and just added salt to the wounds.

At the same time you can’t blame the Cardinals too much. Look at what this team has gone through and you would understand why they needed this. This was a message to the rest of the league that the Cards belong with the elite this season. It’s unfortunate that it had to come at a team’s expense, but the Cards needed to show that last season wasn’t a fluke. Every single win last year was by 17 or fewer points so the Cards never dominated another team. They dominated the Bears and while neither the Bears nor the Saints look like they are going to have good seasons, the Cardinals are finally blowing out teams. This week Arizona faces San Francisco and while the 49ers did just get annihilated by the Steelers, the 49ers have a history of playing the Cards tough even when they are having a down season. I feel another blowout would solidify the Cards as a Super Bowl contender this season. I’ve been fooled by good starts before, but in none of those starts did the Cardinals do what they did Sunday.

Some Card Numbers:

  • Larry Fitzgerald accomplished a lot this week. First off he continued his streak of consecutive games with a catch to 165.
  • Fitzgerald scored three touchdowns in a regular season game for the first time of his career. The only other time he had three touchdowns in a game was the 2008 NFC Championship against the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • It was the first time in nine games that Fitzgerald scored a touchdown. It was also the first time in seven games that he amassed over 100 receiving yards.
  • Last Fitzgerald stat: against the Bears he eclipsed 90 regular season touchdowns and 100 career (regular and postseason) touchdowns.
  • Carson Palmer is off to blazing start, as he is tied for first in the NFL with seven passing touchdowns. He’s also ranked third in quarterback rating and sixth in yards per pass attempt.
  • Rookie David Johnson had a historic day, becoming the first Cardinal since 1958 to have a kickoff return and a rushing touchdown in the same game. The kickoff return went 108 yards, which is tied for second longest in NFL history.
  • As a team the Arizona Cardinals are first in the NFL in scoring (39.5), tenth in total offense (363.5), first in converting third downs (52.6%) and tied for sixth in allowing third down conversions (30.0%).
  • The 48 points against the Bears was the most that the Cardinals have scored under Bruce Arians. The previous high was 40 points against the Indianapolis Colts.

How I Did With Week 2 Predictions:

  • Arizona 48, Chicago 23: I predicted a much closer game and I honestly believe that if Jay Cutler didn’t get injured it would have only been a one or two score game. The Cards defense just overwhelmed Jimmy Clausen and took away his confidence early. (10-7)
  • Kansas City 20, Denver 16: Yeah I might of made a mistake betting against Peyton Manning in primetime but in truth this pick was a test to see if Manning was still a good quarterback. What I can conclude is that he’s still good but I don’t know if he’s great anymore. That defense will be carrying the team this season. (10-8)
  • Atlanta 24, New York Giants 20: Either the Falcons are legit or the NFC East is really bad this year. Maybe it’s both but you can’t deny that Matt Ryan is looking like Matty Ice again and that Dan Quinn has really turned that defense around. The Giants have a hole to climb out of but they’ve done it before and luckily no one is running away with their division (10-9)
  • New England 40, Buffalo 32: Even though the Bills made a huge push in the fourth quarter, I think the fact that the Patriots put up 40 points on an excellent Bills defense is evidence enough to say that the defending champs are the favorite yet again this season. Imagine how the Patriots would be doing if they didn’t have Tom Brady back? (11-9)
  • Cincinnati 24, San Diego 19: In what could be a make-or-break season for Andy Dalton he has had a fantastic start to the year. So far he has five touchdowns and no turnovers while completing 68.3% of his passes. As long as he avoids mistakes the Bengals will a contender. Also Philip Rivers remains one of the most under appreciated quarterbacks in the NFL.  (12-9)
  • Cleveland 28, Tennessee 14: I said I wasn’t going to succumb to the Titans hype train but I guess I did in the end. The Browns looked really good but part of me wonders if this offense can contribute on a consistent basis as they seem to really rely on the home run play. Regardless it was a nice win and great start to the new-and-improved Johnny Manziel era.  (12-10)
  • Minnesota 26, Detroit 16: This was the Minnesota team I was expecting to see this season! Regardless of how you feel about Adrian Peterson, as a football fan it feels great to have him back and playing like himself again. The Lions really need to figure out what is making them play so badly in the second half. You can’t have three turnovers in the second half and expect to win. (12-11)
  • Washington 24, St. Louis 10: There are letdown games, and then there’s the Rams performance against the Redskins. I think Washington might be a decent football team (they also played the Dolphins tough) but for a team like the Rams who are trying to show they turned a corner this is a huge step back. Now they have to rebound against Pittsburgh. Things aren’t looking as great anymore in St. Louis. (12-12)
  • Tampa Bay 26, New Orleans 19: Props to the Bucs for rebounding after such a humiliating defeat to the Titans. However this is about the Saints and what may well be the end of the Sean Payton era. If they don’t turn things around soon I could see him getting the pink slip at the end of the season. (12-13)
  • Pittsburgh 43, San Francisco 18: It seems that the 49ers have been introduced to reality. Jokes aside, this was more about Pittsburgh rebounding from last week’s loss against the Patriots and boy did they bounce back. I honestly think Ben Roethlisberger has an outside shot at the MVP this season and a great shot at offensive player of the year. (13-13)
  • Carolina 24, Houston 17: The Panthers offense isn’t pretty (unless we’re talking about Cam Newton’s flip into the endzone, which was gorgeous), but with that defense it’s enough. While not terrible it wasn’t an encouraging start to the Ryan Mallett era. The Texans may end up relying on their defense more than the Panthers this season and that’s saying something. (14-13)
  • Oakland 37, Baltimore 33: How does a defense that doesn’t give up a single touchdown to the Broncos offense give up four touchdowns to the Raiders offense? Sure they lost Terrell Suggs but that defense still has a lot of great players. Regardless of why it happened, the fact is that Derek Carr had a breakout game and is giving Raiders fans something to smile about. (14-14)
  • Jacksonville 23, Miami 20: The theme this week was I let week one influence my picks too much. No place was this more evident than this pick. The Jaguars are improved and they showed that in this game. Meanwhile something doesn’t feel right about the Dolphins. There’s still plenty of time to turn things around but this has not been a great start to the season. (14-15)
  • Dallas 20, Philadelphia 10: Things are not looking good for the Eagles as all of their offseason gambles have come up snake eyes the first two weeks. Meanwhile the Cowboys are having a case of the 2014 Cardinals, winning games but losing key players such as Tony Romo. Luckily they’ll most likely still be in contention for the NFC East crown when Romo comes. (15-15)
  • *Green Bay 27, Seattle 17: My first perfect score prediction! Wasn’t keeping track before because I didn’t think I’d get one this whole season. Aaron Rodgers must get superpowers when he plays at home because that’s the only way to explain his home games without an interception streak. Also that Jimmy Graham for Max Unger is starting to look a little regrettable. Graham will still help the passing game (though he only had one catch for 11 yards this week) but the loss of Unger has made the offensive line so unstable and that has really hurt their running game. (16-15)
  • New York Jets 20, Indianapolis 7: The good news is that the Colts were 0-2 last year and rebounded to make the AFC Championship. The bad news is that this time around there seems to be more pressure and tension. Week three against the Titans is a must-win game. The Jets defense may be one of the five or ten best defenses in the NFL and they’re still learning Todd Bowles schemes. (16-16)

Week 2 Record: 7-9 (I’m NOT an expert)
Season Record: 16-16
*Perfect Score Predictions: 1

Advertisements

All In The Cards: The Roster Needed To Succeed (Week 1 Recap)

I’m trying.

I’m trying really hard this season to have a realistic view of my Arizona Cardinals. Ever since their appearance in Super Bowl XLIII, every year I somehow convince myself that this is the year the Cardinals will win the Super Bowl. My delusions have been so insane that at one time or another I convinced myself that Matt Leinart and Kevin Kolb were good quarterbacks capable of leading the Cards to a Lombardi Trophy. Look, I was young and naïve back then. I’m an adult now and I need to face reality: sometimes you just don’t have the roster to succeed.

I’m not 100% sure the Cardinals have the roster to succeed this season. They did last year but injuries crippled them to the point that the roster that was set to succeed was unrecognizable by season’s end. The Cardinals have a couple less standouts this season (no more Antonio Cromartie), but what they do have over last year’s team is depth. When an injured Andre Ellington had to finally bow out for the rest of the season, a run game on life support died. We are through only one week of this season and the Cards face the same situation: generating a run game without Ellington. This time they were prepared. They drafted David Johnson out of Northern Iowa in the third round of the NFL Draft. They took a flier on the once great Chris Johnson. When Ellington went out in the fourth quarter, Chris Johnson was called upon to help run out the clock. He ran the ball seven times in that final quarter for 30 yards, including a 12 yard run on his first rush attempt after Ellington left. Then David Johnson sealed the game with a huge 55 yard receiving touchdown in the final minute. Without both of them, the Cards wouldn’t have been able to burn time off the clock and guarantee the victory.

The Cards’ approach this past offseason was to add quality depth so that what happened last year wouldn’t happen again this season. I know that sounds like the rational thing to do but you’d be surprised how many sports franchises are too stubborn to admit their mistakes and thus end up making them again. To see the Cardinals acknowledge their mistakes and spend all offseason correcting them makes me feel proud to be fan.

However there is still one problem that hasn’t been solved: what happens to the offense if Carson Palmer goes down again. Palmer looked amazing against the Saints, throwing for 307 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. He was able to scramble in the pocket to buy some time for his receivers to get open. Less than a year removed from a major leg injury and with two starting linemen out, Palmer was not sacked one time. Granted the Saints pass rush is average at best, but he was never sacked and only hit a few times, which he took very well. Drew Stanton used to be an acceptable backup because because both going into last season had similar skills. That’s not the case anymore. Palmer‘s improved arm strength and pocket presence makes the 2015 Arizona Cardinals a roster that can succeed. Without him this team can’t succeed. I can guarantee that Palmer will not get a single MVP vote this season, but if the Cards succeed he’ll be their most valuable player.

I’m not going to delude myself into thinking Palmer will definitely lead the Cards to a Super Bowl win this season, but a healthy Palmer makes the possibility real.

Some Card Numbers:

  • Who says Larry Fitzgerald is washed up? Fitzgerald happily accepted having Carson Palmer back and hauled in six catches for 87 yards to lead the Cards in receiving. The 87 receiving yards is the most he’s had in a season opener since he had 133 yards on nine catches against the San Francisco 49ers all the way back in 2006. Also worth noting is that four of Fitzgerald’s six catches went for first downs.
  • One last Fitzgerald note and what will be a running counter on this article: Fitzgerald extended his consecutive games with a catch streak to 164, which is the longest active streak in the NFL.
  • While throwing for 307 yards, Carson Palmer passed Jim Kelly for 21st on the all-time passing yards list.
  • The Cardinals have now won their last four home openers. Speaking of home games, the Cards are now 14-3 at home under Bruce Arians.
  • Last year the Cardinals had one of the best fourth quarter differentials in the NFL. This year they are already off to a great start with a +8 differential.

How I Did With Week 1 Predictions:

  • Arizona 31, New Orleans 19: Without Jimmy Graham to occupy a safety’s attention, the Cardinals secondary was able to neutralize the Saints wide receivers for the most part. Saints Head Coach Sean Payton cleverly countered by calling a bunch of screen passes, which really bothered the Cardinals defense all day. With Matt Forte and the Chicago Bears coming up next week, the Cards defense better practice their screen coverage. (1-0)
  • New England 28, Pittsburgh 21: This game feels like it was an eternity ago but New England prevailed because Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are still on their A-game, Rob Gronkowski is unstoppable, and because Pittsburgh couldn’t communicate with each other (Just kidding on that last one). (Season Record: 2-0)
  • Buffalo 27, Indianapolis 14: I knew the Bills would be good (Rex Ryan teams always come to play) but the way they handled the Colts really surprised me. Even though the season just started the Colts need to turn things around quickly, especially with rumors of Coach Chuck Pagano being on the hot seat. (2-1)
  • Green Bay 31, Chicago 23: The Bears pleasantly surprised me with their performance against the Packers, coming very close to pulling off the win. Unfortunately the often-maligned Jay Cutler just became a little more maligned. Rodgers, 189 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, also showed why he’s the reigning MVP. (3-1)
  • New York Jets 31, Cleveland 10: What made Todd Bowles such a great defensive coordinator for the Cardinals was his ability to make perfect halftime adjustments. Fitting that he would get his first win as a head coach by having his Jets shutout out the Browns and force three turnovers in the second half. The Jets have some scary injuries but overall both this season and the future look bright. (4-1)
  • Kansas City 27, Houston 20: For most of the game I was wrong about the Texans, but then in the 4th quarter when Ryan Mallett took over I didn’t look as foolish. Also DeAndre Hopkins is a beast and should be considered as a cheaper alternative in fantasy leagues where you choose a new team on a weekly basis. I’m still taking a wait-and-see approach on Travis Kelce’s long-term fantasy impact. (4-2)
  • Louis 34, Seattle 31 (OT): I’m really kicking myself for not sticking to my gut and picking the Rams. The Rams always push NFC West teams to the limit and the Seahawks were vulnerable without Kam Chancellor. I worry about Seattle’s psyche going forward, especially after the botched onside kick and failed Marshawn Lynch fourth down run. (4-3)
  • Miami 17, Washington 10: This game was a lot closer than I thought which either means good news for the Redskins or bad news for the Dolphins. Also Jarvis Landry’s punt return touchdown was one of the best I have ever seen. Just the way he made it look so easy amazes me. (5-3)
  • Carolina 20, Jacksonville 9: I still stand by what I said about the Panthers offense needing some time but I’ll admit I didn’t give enough credit to their defense before making my pick. We’ll see if they can maintain this level if Luke Kuechly misses a lot of time due to his concussion. Also I may have overestimated the Jaguars’ progress. Still looks like there is a long way to go. (5-4)
  • San Diego 33, Detroit 28: Even though I called the Lions’ choke job, that doesn’t mean I’m proud of it. I was really hoping they would prove me wrong and start the season off on a high note, but instead they throw away a 21-3 first half lead. On the positive side, Keenan Allen started his third season off with a bang after he fell well short of expectations last season. If he can be a go-to receiver for Philip Rivers then the Chargers season suddenly looks more promising. (6-4)
  • Cincinnati 33, Oakland 13: The outcome was even bleaker for the Raiders than I predicted, barely avoiding a shutout with a couple of garbage time touchdowns. The Bengals made a huge statement in this game, telling everyone who picked Pittsburgh or Baltimore to win the division that they still hold the crown and they aren’t going away. (7-4)
  • Denver 19, Baltimore 13: I’m still trying to wrap my brain around the fact that not a single offensive touchdown was scored in this game. While both defenses played at an elite level you can’t help but wonder if this is a sign of things to come, especially for Peyton Manning who has now gone without a touchdown pass in three of his last five games. (8-4)
  • Tennessee 42, Tampa Bay 14: It seems former Cardinals and current Titans Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt finally has a quarterback that he can properly gameplan around. Since the retirement of Kurt Warner, Coach Whiz has had the worst luck with starting quarterbacks but Marcus Mariota looks to have a bright future ahead of him. I’m not about to bury Jameis Winston but the performance really showcased his flaws. (8-5)
  • Dallas 27, New York Giants 26: This game was pure craziness. I definitely feel that Tony Romo’s reputation for choking in the fourth quarter is overblown and that he’s actually one of the better late-game quarterbacks. Both teams should have good seasons so I can’t wait for the rematch. Hopefully it will be just as entertaining. (8-6)
  • Atlanta 26, Philadelphia 24: I knew that the Eagles running game would be overhyped but I never expected a combined 11 carries for 13 yards from DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews. Matt Ryan excelled under new offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan just like I expected, and Julio Jones (nine receptions for 141 yards and two touchdowns) is earning every penny of that new contract. Also shout out to former Indiana Hoosier Tevin Coleman for gaining 80 yards off 20 carries in his first NFL game. (9-6)
  • San Francisco 20, Minnesota 3: I’ve watched the Cardinals defense go up against Carlos Hyde a couple of times and I never would have imagined he would have a game like he did last night. Hyde’s 168 rushing yards and two touchdowns should be a great comfort for the 49ers and their fanbase which has gone through a lot of turnover and turmoil over the past year. Also I am dumbfounded by how underwhelming the Vikings performed. (9-7)